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Black Book: Domestic Cars Drop 10% in Value over Last Three Months

According to Black Book® data, the average price of a used vehicle for model years 2011-2015 depreciated by -2.9% in October, a noticeable single-month change from the -2.3% change during
Published: November 4, 2016

Small Pickups Maintain Retention Strength; Sub-Compact Crossovers See Weakness

LAWRENCEVILLE, Ga. (November 3, 2016) – According to Black Book® data, the average price of a used vehicle for model years 2011-2015 depreciated by -2.9% in October, a noticeable single-month change from the -2.3% change during September. Cars overall saw lower retention in October, ending the month at -3.2% compared with –2.6% in September. Trucks as a whole finished at -2.6% in October. All vehicles are currently averaging a 12-month depreciation change of -16.8%.

Domestic cars are highlighting the typical accelerated depreciation typically felt entering the fourth quarter. Over the last three months, domestic cars have dropped -9.9% in value, averaging more than -3.0% per month over that time.

In October, Compact Cars saw the highest drop in value at -3.6%. Vehicles in this category include the Honda Accord, Ford Focus, Toyota Corolla, Hyundai Elantra, Chevrolet Cruze, and the Nissan Sentra. Vehicles in the Compact Car segment finished October averaging $8,393, a -19.8% change from a year ago ($10,464).

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Small Pickups saw the strongest retention in value, dropping just -0.6% from the previous month. Vehicles in this segment include the Toyota Tacoma, Nissan Frontier, Chevrolet Colorado and the Honda Ridgeline. Trucks in the Small Pickups category finished October averaging $19,383, a -8.1% change from a year ago ($21,085).

Sporty Cars have dropped -10.2% in value over the last three months. However, Sub-Compact Crossovers have also dropped -10.1% during that span. Vehicles in the Sub-Compact Crossover segment include the Nissan Juke, Buick Encore, and the Chevrolet Trax.

“We expect pockets of vehicles to see accelerated depreciation as the year comes to a close,” said Anil Goyal, Senior Vice President of Automotive Valuation and Analytics. “Most car segments certainly fall into this category, but we’ll be paying special attention on those truck and utility segments that begin to show higher depreciation.”

11/1/15

10/1/16

 1M Chg

11/1/16

 3M Chg  12M Chg
Category Seg $ $ % $ % %
All Vehicles

18,167

15,554

-2.9%

15,108

-7.2%

-16.8%

Car

14444

12049

-3.2%

11664

-8.6%

-19.2%

Truck

22496

19631

-2.6%

19114

-6.2%

-15.0%

Domestic Car

13013

11080

-3.9%

10643

-9.9%

-18.2%

Domestic Truck

22716

19896

-2.9%

19320

-6.3%

-15.0%

Import Car

15335

12651

-2.8%

12299

-7.9%

-19.8%

Import Truck

22101

19157

-2.2%

18745

-6.1%

-15.2%

Compact Car CPC

10464

8709

-3.6%

8393

-9.1%

-19.8%

Sporty Car SPC

16981

14434

-3.5%

13926

-10.2%

-18.0%

Full-Size Car FSC

15807

13799

-3.2%

13353

-8.7%

-15.5%

Mid-Size Crossover/SUV MSU

19792

17325

-3.2%

16769

-7.4%

-15.3%

Compact Crossover/SUV CSU

16038

13811

-3.2%

13368

-7.5%

-16.6%

Mid-Size Car MSC

11730

10077

-3.2%

9754

-7.8%

-16.8%

Near Luxury Car NLC

21796

17785

-3.1%

17233

-9.2%

-20.9%

Minivan MVW

20027

16979

-3.0%

16463

-7.3%

-17.8%

Mid-Size Luxury CUV/SUV LMU

29548

25064

-3.0%

24316

-7.2%

-17.7%

Sub-Compact Crossover SXU

13860

11556

-3.0%

11211

-10.1%

-19.1%

Luxury Car LLC

28124

22081

-2.9%

21434

-8.8%

-23.8%

Sub-Compact Car SBC

8676

6907

-2.8%

6711

-8.0%

-22.6%

Sub-Compact Luxury CUV LXU

23958

19557

-2.7%

19035

-5.3%

-20.5%

Full-Size Crossover/SUV FSU

31109

27725

-2.7%

26986

-6.6%

-13.3%

Compact Van MVC

14313

11061

-2.6%

10773

-8.3%

-24.7%

Prestige Luxury Car PLC

48998

38955

-2.6%

37946

-8.1%

-22.6%

Full-Size Luxury CUV/SUV LFU

43578

36921

-2.4%

36032

-6.8%

-17.3%

Full-Size Van FSV

22328

19461

-2.3%

19005

-5.9%

-14.9%

Premium Sporty Car PSC

50916

42230

-2.2%

41321

-6.7%

-18.8%

Full-Size Pickup FPT

26355

23331

-2.2%

22829

-4.6%

-13.4%

Compact Luxury CUV/SUV LCU

27759

23442

-2.1%

22957

-5.5%

-17.3%

Small Pickup SPT

21085

19500

-0.6%

19383

-3.7%

-8.1%

About Black Book
Black Book® is best known in the automotive industry for providing timely, independent and accurate vehicle pricing information, and is available to industry-qualified users through online subscription products, mobile applications and licensing agreements. A leading provider since 1955, Black Book has continuously evolved to ensure that it achieves its goal of delivering mission-critical information to its customers, along with the insight necessary to successfully buy, sell, and lend. Black Book data is published daily by National Auto Research, a division of Hearst Business media, and the company maintains offices in Georgia, Florida, and Maryland. For more information, please visit BlackBook.com or call 800.554.1026.

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