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Cars Begin to Feel Accelerated Depreciation Heading into Fall Season

According to Black Book® data, the average price of a used vehicle for model years 2011-2015 depreciated by -2.4% during August, noticeably more than July (-1.5%)
Published: September 8, 2016

Only Two Car Segments Ranked in the Top 12 For Strongest Monthly Retention
LAWRENCEVILLE, Ga. (September 8, 2016) – According to Black Book® data, the average price of a used vehicle for model years 2011-2015 depreciated by -2.4% during August, noticeably more than July (-1.5%). In comparison to previous years, the depreciation rates seen in the last 3 years in the month of August were -1.4%, -1.9% and -1.3% in 2015, 2014 and 2013, respectively. Cars overall saw higher depreciation in August, ending the month at -3.1% compared with -1.9% in July. Trucks as a whole finished at -1.8% for August. All vehicles are currently averaging a 12-month depreciation change of -16.2%.

Near-Luxury Cars saw the highest depreciation during August at a rate of -3.7%. Vehicles in this segment include the Acura ILX, Audi A4, BMW 3-Series, Cadillac ATS, and Lexus IS250. Vehicles in this segment finished the month with an average price of $18,112, a -19.5% change from year-ago levels ($22,501).

Full-Size Pickups saw the strongest retention during August at -0.6%. Vehicles in this segment include the Chevy Silverado, Dodge Ram, Ford F150, and the GMC Sierra. Vehicles in this segment finished the month with an average price of $24,372 a -10.2% change from a year ago ($27,152).

Four other vehicle segments saw depreciation of 3% or greater in August. Those segments were the Sub-Compact Car (-3.5%); Sporty Cars (-3.4%); Luxury Cars (-3.3%); and Compact Cars (-3.3%).

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The top six segments with the weakest retention during August were all cars; and while Prestige Luxury Cars saw the strongest retention among all car segments, its -2.2% rate made it just the eighth best-performing segment overall on the month (the top seven were truck segments). In fact, just two car segments ranked in the top twelve among retention for the month (Premium Sporty Car at -2.7%).

“As fall approaches, depreciation trends continue to accelerate as we head toward the last few months of the year,” said Anil Goyal, Senior Vice President of Automotive Valuation and Analytics.  “We can expect to see lower retention in cars across all segments as the year continues, and we’ll continue to monitor truck levels to see if they also see weaker retention overall.”

9/1/16 8/1/16 1M Chg 9/1/15 12M Chg
Vehicle Segment Seg $ $ % $ %
All Vehicles 15,521 15,906 -2.4% 18,523 -16.2%
Car 12,223 12,619 -3.1% 15,131 -19.2%
Truck 19,722 20,092 -1.8% 22,844 -13.7%
Domestic Car 11,273 11,676 -3.5% 13,723 -17.9%
Domestic Truck 19,961 20,280 -1.6% 23,035 -13.3%
Import Car 12,819 13,212 -3.0% 16,015 -20.0%
Import Truck 19,334 19,787 -2.3% 22,531 -14.2%
Near Luxury Car NLC 18,112 18,811 -3.7% 22,501 -19.5%
Sub-Compact Car SBC 6,970 7,224 -3.5% 9,196 -24.2%
Sporty Car SPC 14,951 15,471 -3.4% 17,860 -16.3%
Luxury Car LLC 22,517 23,290 -3.3% 29,243 -23.0%
Compact Car CPC 8,737 9,033 -3.3% 10,962 -20.3%
Mid-Size Car MSC 10,256 10,557 -2.8% 12,645 -18.9%
Full-Size Luxury CUV/SUV LFU 36,806 37,881 -2.8% 43,922 -16.2%
Compact Van MVC 11,418 11,749 -2.8% 14,934 -23.5%
Full-Size Car FSC 14,176 14,585 -2.8% 16,481 -14.0%
Premium Sporty Car PSC 42,812 43,999 -2.7% 51,934 -17.6%
Mid-Size Luxury CUV/SUV LMU 24,856 25,527 -2.6% 29,691 -16.3%
Compact Crossover/SUV CSU 14,049 14,401 -2.4% 16,649 -15.6%
Mid-Size Crossover/SUV MSU 17,640 18,036 -2.2% 20,579 -14.3%
Prestige Luxury Car PLC 38,670 39,539 -2.2% 48,676 -20.6%
Minivan MVW 17,135 17,510 -2.1% 20,783 -17.6%
Full-Size Crossover/SUV FSU 28,100 28,661 -2.0% 31,903 -11.9%
Compact Luxury CUV/SUV LCU 23,520 23,954 -1.8% 28,308 -16.9%
Full-Size Van FSV 19,823 20,145 -1.6% 22,651 -12.5%
Small Pickup SPT 19,809 20,121 -1.5% 21,522 -8.0%
Sub-Compact Luxury CUV LXU 18,242 18,524 -1.5% 22,886 -20.3%
Full-Size Pickup FPT 24,372 24,519 -0.6% 27,152 -10.2%

About Black Book
Black Book® is best known in the automotive industry for providing timely, independent and accurate vehicle pricing information, and is available to industry-qualified users through online subscription products, mobile applications and licensing agreements. A leading provider since 1955, Black Book has continuously evolved to ensure that it achieves its goal of delivering mission-critical information to its customers, along with the insight necessary to successfully buy, sell, and lend. Black Book data is published daily by National Auto Research, a division of Hearst Business media, and the company maintains offices in Georgia, Florida, and Maryland. For more information, please visit BlackBook.com or call 800.554.1026.

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